The Institute for the Future is doing some really interesting things with Collective Creativity, harnessing the power of crowds and appeal of games to make predictions about the future.
One game – Superstruct – outlined five "Superthreats" that may not be powerful enough on their own to bring upon the extinction of the human race but together might spell disaster for all of us. The game, a "massively multiplayer forecasting game," encourages players to act honestly, reacting to events in the game as they would in real life using their own personalities as the basis for their actions. The outlook? Grim.
From a press release dated September 22, 2019:
Humans have 23 years to go
Global Extinction Awareness System starts the countdown for Homo sapiens.
PALO ALTO, CA — Based on the results of a year-long supercomputer simulation, the Global Extinction Awareness System (GEAS) has reset the "survival horizon" for Homo sapiens - the human race - from "indefinite" to 23 years.